Prediction vs probability

Question

Hi!

I noticed that some predictions are different from probability, that is, there is a higher probability for a given prediction but the prediction returned in the API is different. What criteria was used?

Example: Match (id: 175261) Banfield vs Independiente [Professional League] Highest probability is '12' (70.3%), but the prediction was 'X2'.

Thanks

Michail Naoum · Answer

So the prediction is o upon odds? I have noticed your prediction mainly gives the lowest odd available .

boggio · Answer

The models picked 'X2' probably because of the higher odds even though the probability is a bit lower.

Football Prediction

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Prediction vs probability